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India's Processed Food Output to Increase By 44.2% to US$90.1bn Announces Q3 2008 Market Research

Thursday July 24, 04:00 AM

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Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/cc537a/india_food_and_dri) has announced the addition of the "India Food and Drink Report Q3 2008" report to their offering.

This India Food Drink Report provides independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on India's food and drink industry.

With India's food industry witnessing explosive growth in line with the country's on-going economic development, there has been a marked move towards trying to get more out of the country's immense agricultural industry. Despite being the world's leading producer of cattle, milk, tea and pulses and the second largest producer of fruit, vegetables, rice, wheat and sugarcane worldwide, India accounts for just 1.5% of global processed food trade. The government estimates that the cost of boosting this figure to just 3% would be US$25bn, with India's primary focused agricultural and food supply chain having to dramatically reconsider standard industry practices in order to boost secondary output. Fortunately, the government is not alone in attempting to fund this seismic shift. A vast population, steady urbanisation and GDP growth that is forecast at 7.9% annually to 2012, have helped ensure that multinational investment interest in the market is massive. More encouraging than this is that multinationals alone are not being left to drive development; local corporations are also playing a huge role in the process. Most notable has been the involvement of Indian companies in the food and beverage industry, whose primary business interest was formerly elsewhere.

Over the past 12 months this has seen fast-moving consumer goods manufacturer Hindustan Lever -- 52%-owned by Dutch giant Unilever -- attempt to grow its food division, via the heavy marketing of popular brands, such as Knorr and Lipton, and reduce its dependence on its health and personal care products. Perhaps even more significantly than this, burgeoning food sales have seen cigarette industry number one and two -- ITC and Godfrey -- launch new food products in a bid to establish themselves as key players within this industry. Looking at the industry more broadly, almost all of India's leading conglomerates -- Tata, Reliance, RPG, Aditya Birla etc -- are now participating in the industry to some degree, many having chosen the explosive grocery retail as a starting point.

Likewise, former food category specialists, such as Amul Dairy, are now looking to become industry generalists in a bid to broaden their growth prospects (Amul has recently announced its interest in further non-dairy snack food launches). Investment from all of these companies, as they battle to boost sales and build market share, should help to lift India's contribution to global processed food trade in the long term. In the short-to-medium term, the impact will be on internal processed food sales. Included in this report for the first time this quarter are our forecasts for the country's processed food industry. To 2012, we expect processed food output to increase by 44.2% to US$90.1bn, while packaged food sales in the country climb by 67.5% to US$21.7bn. On a per capita basis, it is forecast that a per capita packaged food spending increase of 56.5% to US$18.06 in 2012.

Key Topics Covered:

Executive Summary

Business Environment

Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings

Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Ratings Q308

India's Food & Drink Business Environment Rating

Table: Singapore's Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Peer Group

SWOT Analysis

Food and Drink

India Food & Drink Industry SWOT

Mass Grocery Retail

India Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT

Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: India Economic Activity

Food

Industry Forecast Scenario

Food Consumption

Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts

Confectionery

Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts

Processed Food

Table: Processed Food Industry Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts

Trade

Table: India Food & Drink Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts

Industry Developments

Market Overview

Agriculture

Food Processing

Drink

Industry Forecast Scenario

Hot Drinks

Alcoholic Drinks

Soft Drinks

India Beverage Sub-Sectors - Value/Volume Sales Historical & Forecasts

Industry Developments

Market Overview

Soft Drinks

Alcoholic Drinks

Agriculture at a Glance

Table: India Agricultural Sub-Sector Production ('000 tonnes) Historical Data

Table: India Agricultural Sub-Sector Output by Value (US$mn)

Table: India Organic Agricultural Data

Table: India Dairy Industry Data, 2006

Table: India Rural/Urban Population Breakdown

Agricultural Commodity Price

Retail

Industry Forecast Scenario

Table: India MGR Sales by Format (US$bn) Historical Data & Forecasts

Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format Historical Data & Forecasts

Industry Developments

Market Overview

Table: Structure of India's MGR Market by Estimated Number of Outlets

Table: Structure of India's MGR Market Sales by Format (US$mn)

Table: Average Outlet Sales by Format 2007

Competitive Landscape

Key Players

Food and Drink

Table: Key Players in India's Food and Drink Sector, 2007

Mass Grocery Retail

Table: Key Players in India's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2007

Company Analysis

Food

Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL)

Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation (Amul Dairy)

Drink

United Breweries Limited (UBL)

Coca-Cola India

Mass Grocery Retail

Pantaloon Retail India

RPG Retail

Deep US Recession Scenario

Global Scenario

Table: World GDP Growth

Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth and Private Consumption Growth

Table: Eurozone GDP Growth

Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth

Table: China GDP Growth

Table: Mexico GDP Growth

Table: Africa GDP Growth

Asia Pacific Food & Drink Scenario

Table: Impact of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption (US$bn) In Selected Asia Pacific Markets - Cumulative US$ Impact Over 5-yr Forecast Period

Appendix

Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings

Ratings Methodology

Ratings Overview

Ratings System

Indicators

Limits of Potential Returns

Risks to Realisation of Potential Returns

Weighting

Weighting

BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary

Food & Drink

Mass Grocery Retail

BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts

Sourcing

Companies Mentioned:

-Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL)

-Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation (Amul Dairy)

-United Breweries Limited (UBL)

-Coca-Cola India

-Mass Grocery Retail

-Pantaloon Retail India

-RPG Retail

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/cc537a/india_food_and_dri

Contact:

Research and Markets
Laura Wood
Senior Manager
Fax from USA: 646-607-1907
Fax from rest of the world: +353-1-481-1716
press@researchandmarkets.com

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