Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/4bd866/thailand_food_and)
has announced the addition of the "Thailand
Food and Drink Report Q1 2009" report to their offering.
Thailand Food Drink Report provides independent forecasts and
competitive intelligence on Thailand's food and drink industry.
Political turbulence, a shell-shocked tourism sector, sagging global
demand and subdued domestic consumer and business sentiment will
conspire to bring down growth in Thailand in 2009. BMI has revised its
real GDP forecast for 2009 down to 3.8% but that prognosis may be nudged
lower still, particularly if the political situation descends into
further chaos.
Despite political tensions and slower domestic consumption hanging over
the Thai economy, both Thai Union Group (TUG) and Thai Union Frozen
Products (TUF) reiterated plans during the quarter to meet financial
year (FY) revenue targets. TUG stated that it was confident of achieving
full-year revenue and net profit of THB69.9bn (US$2bn) and THB2bn
(US$57.2mn) respectively, in spite of the prevailing economic conditions
in many of the company's core export markets. TUF announced that it was
confident of hitting its sales target of US$2bn by the end of 2008, with
sales having reached US$1.54bn after the first nine months. Likewise
green tea manufacturer Oishi Group confirmed that it expects to exceed
its 20% annual revenue and net profit growth target in 2008, in spite of
global economic weakness.
Indeed, the Thai food processing industry will welcome the announcement
from the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) during the quarter that
concern about poor food production standards in China is expected to
lead more Japanese investors to shift their production bases to Thailand
in coming years. According to the FTI, Thai food exports to Japan next
year are expected to increase to between 15% and 16% of total food
shipments from an estimated 14% this year. Higher exports are expected
next year for processed chicken, canned tuna and other fish, canned
fruits and vegetables, spices, and food seasonings. However, the
problems faced by Thai players looking to grow their business was
reflected in the decision by ThaiBev in early December to shelve plans
for a listing on the Stock Exchange following the strength of protest
from the anti-alcohol lobby in the country. Although, the company is
already listed on the Singaporean Stock Exchange, it had hoped that
listing itself on the Thai stock exchange as well would enhance its
brand awareness.
In summary, the prognosis for overall food consumption remains
substantial, forecast to grow by 64.8% to reach US$50.1bn in 2013.
However, should growth rates be lower than expected, consumer confidence
is likely to take a hit, with spending on non-essential food and
beverage products among the first things to be curtailed. Although a new
Democrat-led government would remain business friendly, it is likely
that the drawn-out political turbulence - especially the crippling
blockade of the country's main airport - and the remote prospect of a
real solution to Thailand's deep societal rifts may have left a serious
dent in investor confidence.
For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/4bd866/thailand_food_and
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