http://nz.biz.yahoo.com//090702/16/d5ev.html
SYDNEY, July 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was steady
on Thursday, ahead of local May trade numbers where a small
deficit is forecast as weaker commodity export prices offset a
slump in imports.
* Trade numbers due at 0130 GMT, and forecasts are for a
trade deficit of A$125 million ($100.8 million), although
estimates ranged wildly from surplus of A$1 billion to a
deficit of A$1 billion.
* Other key data out Thursday include U.S. jobs report for
June, where 363,000 jobs are forecast to have been lost in that
month, with unemployment rising to 9.6 percent from 9.4 percent
in May. ECONUS
* Aussie also supported by news that China wants to debate
the prospects of a new reserve currency at next week's Group of
Eight meeting. Such a debate would probably take a toll on the
U.S. dollar, the dominant reserve currency now.
* Aussie was firm at $0.8089, after rising offshore to as
high as $0.8108, and compared to $0.8034 seen here late
Wednesday. It rose against the yen too to 78.07 yen AUDJPY=,
from Wednesday's 77.66.
* G8 sources said on Wednesday has asked to debate a new
reserve currency at the G8 meeting in Italy, and that the issue
may be referred to in the summit statement. [ID:nLAG003567]
* Some investors are worried balloning U.S. trade and
fiscal deficits would take a toll on the U.S. dollar in the
long run, diminishing its appeal as a reserve currency.
* But most analysts say the U.S. dollar will not lose its
status as a reserve currency any time soon because no other
government bond market is as liquid or as safe as the U.S.
Treasury market.
* U.S. economic data showed on Wednesday any economic
recovery is likely to be tepid due to a weak labour market.
Data showed surprising weakness in private sector employment
and soft auto sales, although manufacturing contracted at it
slowest pace in nearly a year. [ID:nN01335756]
* The weak data supported comments from a Fed official that
U.S. benchmark rates could remain low for an extended period of
time. The comment boosted shorter-dated Treasury prices as
investors unwounded expectations of rate hikes.
* Australian bond futures rose too. Three-year bond futures
YTTc1 rose 0.08 points to 95.40, while ten-year bond futures
YTCc1 rose 0.075 points to 94.595.
(Reporting by Koh Gui Qing)
|