http://nz.biz.yahoo.com//091102/16/fg76.html
* Aussie regains some lost ground on sovereign buying
* Chinese data also helps at the margins
* Awaits RBA rate decision, accompanying statement
SYDNEY, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar rebounded
from near one-month lows on Monday as a bout of profit taking
in the local currency took a breather and bids emerged at lower
levels from sovereign funds, dealers said.
The Aussie was also supported by expectations the Reserve
Bank of Australia (RBA) would raise its cash rate by 25 basis
points to 3.5 percent at its monthly policy meeting on Tuesday
[AU/INT].
"We saw buying by some sovereign names around the $0.8960
levels which I now suspect could emerge as a support in the
near term," said David Scutt, forex trader at Arab Bank
Australia.
"While expectations of a rate rise tomorrow should help the
Aussie, it also depends on how the U.S. stock market performs."
Stock markets, like the Dow Jones Industrial average, have
a strong correlation with the Australian dollar and both have
risen to multi-month highs as investors bet big on riskier
assets, bolstered by growing optimism about a global recovery.
Traders said Chinese data showing manufacturing activity at
an 18-month high helped mitigate some of the recent loss in
appetite for riskier assets like stocks and high-yielders.
China is a major importer of Australian commodities and the
strong demand was one reason Australia dodged the global
recession so successfully.
In other upbeat news for market sentiment, the Australian
government revised its economic growth forecast to 1.5 percent
for the year to end-June 2010, up from a 0.5 percent
contraction predicted in May [ID:nSYD478854].
The Aussie edged up to $0.9032, from a low of $0.8907
earlier in the session and from $0.8984 late in New York on
Friday, but still weaker than $0.9161 seen late here on Friday.
Scutt added that while the Aussie could rise to around
$0.9100, technically, the Dow Jones .DJI and the Aussie were
looking ripe for a correction.
The Aussie also regained lost ground against the yen
AUDJPY=R, rising from a near one-month low of 79.45 to 81.35
yen. Traders said the bounce was on renewed buying by Japanese
leveraged players.
The Aussie extended gains against the kiwi AUDNZD=R,
rising to its highest in three months at NZ$1.2595. Investors
expect the Aussie to gain further with local rates headed
higher while those in New Zealand remain low well into the
first half of 2010.
Traders said buying in high-yielders was likely to remain
subdued ahead of big event risks in the week ahead, including
central bank meetings in Europe and the U.S. and the all
important U.S non-farm payroll data on Friday. [ID:nN30408927].
The Federal Reserve's rate setting committee, which meets
on Tuesday and Wednesday, is expected to keep rates unchanged
but there is speculation that it might change its language.
That could see markets pricing in a rate hike in the United
States sooner than expected.
Australian December bill futures YBAc1 edged lower as
some in the market unwound bets of a more aggressive 50 basis
point rate hike by the RBA on Tuesday. But bond futures were
higher, buoyed by safe-haven inflows.
Three-year futures YTTc1 were 0.01 points higher at 94.87
while the 10-year contract YTCc1 added 0.03 points to 94.45.
|